California Prepares for the Next Big Earthquake

Scientists are admitting the likelihood of a massive earthquake along the San Andreas Fault is higher than previous predictions.

The Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, released in March, states that newly discovered fault zones could see a quake jumping between them.  The cascading quake could reach an earthquake of 8.0 or greater.

The odds of a mega-quake increased from 4.7 percent to 7 percent.

The report also said that the odds of a medium level quake has decreased along the lines of the increase of a massive quake.

The southern section of the San Andreas Fault has not seen a massive earthquake in almost 300 years.  The last major quake along the fault took place in 1989 near Santa Cruz, California during Game 3 of the 1989 World Series.   63 people died in that earthquake.  The state’s last major quake overall was the 1994 Northridge quake along a previously undiscovered fault line that left 57 dead and 5,000 injured.

California’s Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones says that he worries about the next “big one.”

“If you ask me what keeps me awake at night, it’s the strong likelihood of a large earthquake,” he said.

Amazingly, despite the fact the state is hit with 1,000 earthquakes a year (most of very small magnitude), only 11 percent of homeowners and renters in the state have earthquake insurance.  Only a comparable number of businesses have insurance.

“It has been 21 years since the last major earthquake in the state and many rationalise that they can do without,” Robert Hartwig of the Insurance Information Institute said.  “Unfortunately, too many seem willing to play Russian roulette with what is likely to be their most valuable asset, their home.”

Nepal Death Toll Over 4,000

The death toll in the massive Nepal earthquake and aftershock has passed the 4,000 mark and local officials say it’s likely to continue a fast rise over the next few days.

Almost every member of the Nepalese military has been dispatched for search and rescue operations with focus on villages that have been inaccessible due to debris and damage.

Officials have now confirmed at least 7,000 people have been injured as a result of the quakes.  The hospitals are full and tent surgical theaters and treatment tents have been set up in the parking areas and open fields near the hospitals.

The Nepalese government has sent out an emergency call for “tents, dry goods, blankets, mattresses and 80 different medicines”.

The United States announced Monday an additional $9 million in relief supplies for the rescue effort.  China, India and Pakistan have sent emergency response teams to the region.  International aid agencies say that Great Britain, Australia and New Zealand have also contributed to the rescue efforts.

The United Nations World Food Program said they are preparing a “large, massive operation” for the region.

A spokesman for World Vision released a somber statement to the press.  Matt Darvas said that some villages that were on mountainsides could be completely buried by rock falls.  Some of the villages that are wiped out had up to 1,000 residents.

6.7 Magnitude Aftershock Rattles Nepal; Over 2,500 Dead

In an eerie confirmation of reports from the National Earthquake Information Center that there was a 1 in 3 chance of a massive aftershock in Nepal following a 7.9 magnitude earthquake Saturday, the region was struck by a 6.7 magnitude aftershock Sunday.

The U.S. Geological Survey said the quake struck only six miles deep strengthening the damaging impact of the quake.

“The aftershocks keep coming … so people don’t know what to expect,” said Sanjay Karki, Nepal country head for global aid agency Mercy Corps. “All the open spaces in Kathmandu are packed with people who are camping outdoors. When the aftershocks come you cannot imagine the fear. You can hear women and children crying.”

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Officials said that at least 2,500 people have been confirmed dead as of Sunday night but the death toll is likely to rise significantly over the next few days when more rescuers reach the region to examine collapsed structures and areas buried in landslides.

Officials say that over 700 deaths have been confirmed in the capital of Kathmandu alone.

Residents of the city say that the majority of collapsed buildings were older structures made of brick.  Modern buildings toward the business area of the city did not collapse leading officials to confirm the death toll was lower than it could have been at this point because those buildings stayed up.

International relief group World Vision said that many villages outside the capital are on mountains and they were not prepared for this massive quake and aftershock.

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Villages near the epicenter “are literally perched on the sides of large mountain faces and are made from simple stone and rock construction. Many of these villages are only accessible by 4WD and then foot, with some villages hours and even entire days’ walks away from main roads at the best of times,” the group’s local staff member, Matt Darvas, said in a statement to the Associated Press.

Residents of the area who had returned to their homes are now back in the streets following the massive aftershock.  Makeshift tent cities have been created in open spaces such as school playgrounds, courtyards and even the traffic islands in streets shut down because of damage.

Hospitals have been overwhelmed with injuries.

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“Both private and government hospitals have run out of space and are treating patients outside, in the open,” Nepal’s envoy to India, Deep Kumar Upadhyay, told the AP.

Pakistan confirmed they are sending a 30-bed temporary hospital to the capital along with doctors and surgeons.   They are also sending at least 2,000 ready to eat meals and drinking water.

Disaster experts Sunday admitted they had been in Kathmandu last week investigating ways to better prepare the region for a massive earthquake similar to the 1934 quake that leveled the city. 

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“It was sort of a nightmare waiting to happen,” said seismologist James Jackson, head of the earth sciences department at the University of Cambridge in England. “Physically and geologically what happened is exactly what we thought would happen.”

“I was walking through that very area where that earthquake was and I thought at the very time that the area was heading for trouble,” said Jackson, lead scientist for Earthquakes Without Frontiers, a group that tries to make Asia more able to bounce back from these disasters and was having the meeting.

Over 1,300 Dead in Massive Nepal Earthquake

The strongest earthquake to hit the Himalayan nation of Nepal in over 80 years has left massive devastation and over 1,300 people dead.

The quake, which struck just outside the nation’s capital of Kathmandu, was measured at 7.8 on the Richter scale by the U.S. Geological Survey.

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The death toll in Nepal is rising every hour.  Neighboring countries India and China have reported deaths from the massive quake.

The quake struck just before lunch time local time in a very heavily populated area of the region.  Residents began to run into the streets in panic as many buildings began to crumble.  Trees fell knocking out power lines and massive cracks appeared in the middle of roads and walking paths.

Residents spent the rest of the day in the streets because of aftershocks that continued to collapse buildings damaged by the initial quake.

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“It is hard to describe. The house was shaking like crazy. We ran out and it seemed like the road was heaving up and down,” Vaidya, who runs an advertising agency, told The Associated Press. “I don’t remember anything like this before. Even my parents can’t remember anything this bad.”

“It’s cold and windy so we are all sitting in the car listening to the news on FM radio,” he said. “The experts are saying it’s still not safe to go back inside. No one can predict how big the next aftershock will be.”

The region lost many historical buildings and artifacts in the quake.

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The historic Dharahara tower was almost completely destroyed in the quake.  The formerly nine story tower, listed as a world historical site by the United Nations, is now reduced to a partially collapsed building less than two stories tall.  There were people on the 8th floor viewing tower when the quake struck and officials cannot say how many were killed in the building’s collapse.

The tower had been built by the nation’s first prime minister in 1832.

Durbar Square in Kathmandu’s Old City, also a U.N. recognized historical site, has been flattened.

The quake also triggered an avalanche on Mount Everest that killed at least 13.

New Report Says 143 Million Americans In Earthquake Zones

A new report says that around 143 million Americans are living in an earthquake zone and that 28 million in the lower 48 are in danger of “strong shaking”by a quake.

The researchers attribute the record total to population migration with many moving to the earthquake areas on the West Coast that are known for their activity.  The scientists also say a “change in hazard assessment”contributed to the expansion of zones.

The report shows nearly 20,000 schools are in the area that is considered a threat from earthquakes.

The last time FEMA estimated the number of Americans who could be impacted by a quake in 1994.  That report stated only 75 million Americans were at risk.  The study was conducted then by the U.S. Geological Survey, the California Geological Survey and FEMA.

The new report says that financial losses from damages to schools, hospitals and other emergency responder buildings could run over $4.5 billion per year.  Up to 80% of that cost would be located along the West Coast.

“While the West Coast may carry the larger burden of potential losses and the greatest threat from the strongest shaking, this report shows that the threat from earthquakes is widespread,”said Kishor Jaiswal, the researcher who presented the findings.

Oklahoma Averaging Two Earthquakes A Day

The U.S. Geological Survey confirmed to CNBC that Oklahoma is seeing a massive increase in magnitude 3.0 or greater earthquakes over the last 7 years to the level that the state sees 2 quakes a day.

“We have a good record going all the way back to the 1970s of magnitude 3 or larger earthquakes. They increased throughout the central U.S. in 2009, but primarily in just a few states like southern Colorado, Arkansas, Texas and Oklahoma,” says Bill Leith, senior science adviser for Earthquake and Geologic Hazards at USGS, told CNBC. “Oklahoma is the most striking case, where the number of earthquakes is now at record levels.”

The USGS said that from 2008 through April 8th, 2015, a total of 1,063 earthquakes of 3.0 magnitude or greater were officially recorded in Oklahoma.  This year there has been a total of 210 compared to just 91 over the same time in 2014.

Critics of the drilling process called fracking blame the quakes on the fracking process but quakes have been on the rise in Kansas, Texas, Arkansas, Colorado and Ohio according to the USGS which seems to counter the claims the Oklahoma quakes are related solely to fracking.

The quakes are causing another concern for the oil and gas industry above the people critical of the fracking process; storage of oil above ground.  Cushing, Oklahoma is the major hub of oil pipelines in America and over $3 billion in crude oil is stored above ground in that area.  A major quake that ruptures a tank could cause millions in damage to supplies and surrounding lands.

Earthquake Strikes Along New Madrid Fault

The U.S. Geological Survey has confirmed a magnitude 4.0 earthquake struck Wednesday night along the New Madrid Fault near Steele, Missouri.

The quake was reportedly felt in more than six states.

No major damage was reported in the region.  Several businesses reported items being shaken off shelves and homeowners reported pictures had fallen off walls.

Several police departments in the region confirmed their computer monitors began shaking during the quake.

The New Madrid fault is the most seismically active zone east of the Rocky Mountains.  The New Madrid Fault reaches from St. Louis to Memphis.

4.0 Earthquake on the New Madrid Fault Line

Residents in the southeastern part of Missouri were shaken after an earthquake occurred along the New Madrid Fault Line shortly before 11 p.m. CT.

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) reported that the earthquake was at 4.0 magnitude and had occurred approximately 11 miles before the surface of the Earth.

Not only did nearby residents feel the quake but reports from KFVS-TV in Cape Girardeau, Missouri stated that residents living as far as Carbondale, Illinois were able to feel the quake.

No damages or injuries have been reported.

The New Madrid Fault Line stretches along the Mississippi River from near St. Louis to Memphis, Tennessee. According to the USGS, the New Madrid Fault is “the most seismically active in North America east of the Rockies.” They also report that earthquakes in the eastern and central part of the United States “can be felt over an area as much as ten times larger than a similar magnitude earthquake on the west coast.”

Small Tsunami Generated After Pacific Earthquake

A huge earthquake off the coast of Papua New Guinea generated a small tsunami.

The magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck around 30 miles southeast of Kokopo at a depth of 40 miles. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center warned of a potential 3 foot high tsunami but the highest reported wave was 1.5 feet in the harbor of Rabaul.

Rabaul residents say there was no major damage and most of the water flooded parking lots near the beach or seaside. Store owners say that items were knocked off shelves but there was no structural damage.

Residents say the tremor lasted about five minutes and was so intense that residents fled into the streets from fear of building collapse.

Miraculously, officials say there were no reports or deaths or injuries from the massive quake.

Papua New Guinea lies on the Pacific “Ring of Fire”. Volcanic and earthquake activity is common in the region.

Oklahoma To Get New Earthquake Hazard Maps

Oklahoma is getting a new set of maps.

The U.S. Geological Survey announced they will be releasing new earthquake hazard maps for Oklahoma after collections of data from a swarm of quakes the last few years.

Oklahoma in the last year has received more quakes of 3.0 or greater than California.  The number of quakes in the state has been 300 times higher in the last six years compared to previous decades.

The news of the maps comes on the heels of another report from the USGS that Oklahoma is likely to see a major quake from reawakened fault lines.

“By identifying the faults, we are providing some guidance about where major earthquakes can happen,” Dan McNamara, USGS research geophysicist and lead author of the paper, said in a news release.

McNamara says that current maps are underestimating the earthquake hazard for not just Oklahoma but bordering states as well.